2019 Breeders Cup Best Picks are for the Juvenile Race

2019 Breeders Cup Best Picks are for the Juvenile Race

Category : News - Fri 25/10/2019 - 10:24 EDT

As if the Breeders’ Cup festivities scheduled for Nov. 1 and 2 at Santa Anita aren’t exciting enough, the BC Juvenile and other marquee races might just prove to be keen betting opportunities.

Now that we have the Breeders Cup Entries 2019, let's analyse the best picks according to the best Breeders Cup 2019 odds.

Juvenile star in the making?

With full acknowledgment that past iterations of the BC Juvenile haven't necessarily been proving grounds for future success, Dennis' Moment looks like a legitimate reason to get excited. Why not get excited with the Breeders' Cup Odds while also getting bonus money? 

A son of the only two-time Breeders' Cup Classic winner Tiznow, Dennis' Moment has won two of three career starts, but it's more important how he's won them.

After a troubled debut that saw him finish off-the-board Dennis' Moment quickly established himself as a force in start number two, romping by 19 lengths at Ellis Park against maiden special weight competition. 

The Dale Romans trainee followed that with an impressive victory in the Grade 3 Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs, demonstrating an off-the-pace style while racing around two turns for the first time. 

Since then, Dennis' Moment has turned heads in his morning workouts and looks to be a man amongst boys in the field that will gather in Arcadia, California for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. 

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Odds 2019

There are 10 probables for the Juvenile althought most racebooks list many more. I'm personally stoked about the betting value of Dennis' Moment in this field, but more on that in a bit. Here are the odds: 

  • Eight Rings +275
  • Dennis' Moment +350
  • Maxfield +350
  • Tiz the Law +700
  • Scabbard +1000
  • Shoplifted +1600
  • American Theorem +2000
  • Our Country (unlisted odds)
  • Anneau D'or (unlisted odds)
  • Full Flat (unlisted odds)
  • Wrecking Crew (unlisted odds) 

The take

I hate to make this about a single horse, but Dennis' Moment certainly seems to fit the billing of a superstar in the making. If you can snag +350 on this runner in a future bet, I say do it as quickly as possible.

Anything can happen in a horse race and while this is particularly so with young, inexperienced runners, Dennis' Moment has been doing extraordinary things in his precocious career. 

After looking as green as the Santa Anita grass in his debut, Dennis' Moment won by a jaw-dropping 19 lengths at Ellis Park in start number two. 19 lengths. Does it really matter what kind of competition he was facing?

He earned a fast Beyer Speed Figure for that effort and came back to face much better horses in the Iroquois Stakes while stretching out from six furlongs to a mile and one sixteenth. 

In that effort, Dennis' Moment handled everything with aplomb. He showed that he could get the distance and didn't need the lead to win. His stride looked remarkable coming down the Churchill Downs homestretch and he earned a stellar Beyer Speed Figure of 97 for that effort.

I'll take Dennis' Moment as my best bet of the two day weekend. 

Picks to click in BC races

Taking a long look at the races and Breeders' Cup Classic odds, there are few races that lack betting value. Here's a look at some of the best wagering opportunities available:

Breeders' Cup Classic:

I'm starting with the Classic because it's the signature event of any Breeders' Cup, but not necessarily because I think it's better than the races I'm listing subsequently. 

Mckinzie seems an overbet favorite at +250 odds, and I'd like Code of Honor if not for the short(ish) price at +400.

I'll roll with a price, taking the fresh local horse Mongolian Groom at +1200. I also like Seeking the Soul at much bigger odds of +3200.

On race day, I'll consider a four-horse trifecta box using Code of Honor, Mongolian Groom, Seeking the Soul, and Vino Rosso. That'll cost $24 for every $1 wagered. 

Breeders' Cup Mile

What an interesting collection of grass horses. This race is so wide open, and I'll start by saying that Bricks and Mortar would romp if this race were an eighth of a mile further.

At +450, however, and no middle distance BC turf races, Bricks and Mortar feels like a play-against for the top prize despite his impressive winning streak and resume this year.

The contenders that have started a race in North America this year don't impress me much. Bowie's Hero's win in the Shadwell Turf Mile at Keeneland was almost by default. There's simply a large group of horses with roughly the same ability. I'll look elsewhere for the winner.

Lord Glitters offers some really good betting value at +1600 and has a big chance given the level of company he's kept in Europe.

The Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes winner is usually right around the wire and may find the swifter pace in American racing to his liking. I'll give him the nod for the win, and will likely use Bricks and Mortar, Uni (+700) to box an exacta on race day. 

Breeders' Cup Sprint

Back-to-back winner Roy H won't be back this year to defend his title, but this is still a fast group with plenty of top-level talent. 

Without mincing words, I love Imperial Hint (+300), Mitole (+250), and Omaha Beach (+400). Chalk, chalk, chalk, so I'll add Whitmore (+2500) because he always fires late. That quartet will form my tri and super wagers. 

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

This is always a fun race and this year's bunch should continue that trend. While upsets have gone to the last four winners, I like one of the top two choices in this renewal. 

Come Dancing (+300) is a fast horse and always manages to find a good stalking position. Shje looked really good in her last two, winning the Ballerina and Gallant Bloom in New York. It's been a while since she's raced outside the Empire State, but she's the one to beat. 

See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:

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